SAT Math · Inference from sample statistics and margin of error · medium

A random sample of 400 voters found that 55% favor a candidate, with a reported margin of error of 3 percentage points. Which statement is…

A random sample of 400 voters found that 55% favor a candidate, with a reported margin of error of 3 percentage points. Which statement is most appropriately cautious given this information?

Answer and explanation

Answer: C: The true percentage of all voters favoring the candidate is plausibly between 52% and 58%.

The margin of error describes how far the true population percentage plausibly is from the sample estimate. With a sample percentage of 55% and a margin of error of 3 points, the plausible range is 55±355 \pm 3, or 52% to 58%, choice C. Choice A is too strong because a sample estimate is not exact. Choice B is false, since only 400 voters were surveyed, not the entire population. Choice D misreads the margin of error as a fixed bias; it is only a range of plausible sampling error, not a guarantee of a specific error. The wording "plausibly" matters.

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