ACT Math · Probability and counting

A bag contains 4 red marbles and 6 blue marbles. Two marbles are drawn without replacement. What is the probability that the first is red…

A bag contains 4 red marbles and 6 blue marbles. Two marbles are drawn without replacement. What is the probability that the first is red and the second is blue?

Answer and explanation

Answer: F: 4/15

The draws are without replacement, so the second probability depends on the first. The probability that the first marble is red is 410\frac{4}{10}. Given that, 99 marbles remain and 66 of them are blue, so the probability the second is blue is 69\frac{6}{9}. Multiply: 410⋅69=2490=415\frac{4}{10}\cdot\frac{6}{9}=\frac{24}{90}=\frac{4}{15}, choice F. Choice H (625\frac{6}{25}) treats the draws as independent, 410⋅610\frac{4}{10}\cdot\frac{6}{10}, as if the marble were replaced. Choice G (25\frac{2}{5}) is only the probability that the first is red. Choice J (815\frac{8}{15}) is double the correct value.

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