ACT Math · Probability and counting

A weather forecast gives a 30% chance of rain on each of the next two days, with the two days independent of each other. What is the…

A weather forecast gives a 30% chance of rain on each of the next two days, with the two days independent of each other. What is the probability it rains on both days?

Answer and explanation

Answer: B: 0.09

Because the two days are independent, multiply the probabilities: 0.30⋅0.30=0.090.30\cdot0.30=0.09, choice B. The chance of rain on both days must be less than the chance of rain on either day alone, and 0.09<0.300.09<0.30. Choice D (0.600.60) adds the probabilities, which is not the rule for both events. Choice C (0.300.30) is the probability of rain on a single day. Choice A (0.060.06) is 0.3⋅0.20.3\cdot0.2, using the wrong probability for the second day. Independence is what allows us to multiply.

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