SAT Math · Probability and conditional probability · easy

The probability that it rains on a given day is 0.4, and the probability that a certain sports team wins on a given day is 0.7,…

The probability that it rains on a given day is 0.4, and the probability that a certain sports team wins on a given day is 0.7, independent of the weather. What is the probability that it both rains and the team wins on the same day?

Answer and explanation

Answer: 0.28

For independent events, the probability that both occur is the product of their individual probabilities: P(rain and win)=0.4×0.7=0.28P(\text{rain and win}) = 0.4 \times 0.7 = 0.28. Independence is stated in the problem, so the weather does not change the team's chance of winning. A common wrong answer is 1.1, which comes from adding the probabilities, 0.4+0.70.4 + 0.7, a result greater than 1, which is impossible for a probability. Another is 0.7, which ignores the rain condition. A third is 0.18, from 0.4×0.30.4 \times 0.3, which uses the chance of losing. Multiply for "and" with independent events.

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