ACT Math · Probability and counting

A bag contains 5 red marbles and 5 blue marbles. A marble is drawn, its color noted, and then replaced before a second marble is drawn.…

A bag contains 5 red marbles and 5 blue marbles. A marble is drawn, its color noted, and then replaced before a second marble is drawn. What is the probability that both marbles drawn are red?

Answer and explanation

Answer: A: 1/4

Because the marble is replaced, the two draws are independent and the second draw has the same chances as the first. The probability of red on each draw is 510=12\frac{5}{10}=\frac{1}{2}, so the probability of two reds is 12⋅12=14\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{4}, choice A. Choice B (12\frac{1}{2}) is the probability of a single red draw. Choice C (25\frac{2}{5}) and choice D (920\frac{9}{20}) do not come from the replacement setup. Without replacement, the answer would be 510⋅49=29\frac{5}{10}\cdot\frac{4}{9}=\frac{2}{9}, but replacement keeps both draws at 12\frac{1}{2}.

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