SAT Math · Probability and conditional probability · hard
A factory's Machine A produces 60% of all units with a 3% defect rate, and Machine B produces the remaining 40% with a 5% defect rate.…
A factory's Machine A produces 60% of all units with a 3% defect rate, and Machine B produces the remaining 40% with a 5% defect rate. What is the overall probability, as a percent, that a randomly selected unit from this factory is defective?
Answer and explanation
Answer: 3.8
Use the law of total probability: weight each machine's defect rate by its share of production. Machine A contributes , and Machine B contributes . Together, , which is 3.8%. A common wrong answer is 4, from simply averaging the two defect rates, , which ignores that Machine A makes more of the units. Another is 8, from adding 3% and 5%. A third is 1.8, which counts only Machine A. The overall rate must lie between 3% and 5%, closer to 3%.
More Probability and conditional probability questions
- Question 19 · mediumA survey of pet ownership and car ownership among 120 people found: 45 own both a car and a pet,…
- Question 41 · mediumThe probability of rain on any given day this week is 0.3, independent of other days. What is the…
- Question 281 · easyThe probability that it rains on a given day is 0.4, and the probability that a certain sports…
- Question 300 · mediumA bag contains 5 red marbles and 3 blue marbles. Two marbles are drawn at random without…
- Question 301 · mediumIn a survey, 50% of respondents said they like coffee, 40% said they like tea, and 20% said they…
- Question 302 · easyA factory finds that 3% of its manufactured parts are defective. In a batch of 2,000 parts, how…
Learn the method behind questions like this one
The SAT Math course teaches each tested skill through lessons, step-by-step solutions to sample problems, the complete study guide and full-length practice tests.